52 WE 3/22/2026 • SPINS DATA
No sad dashboards
Sprouts Vendor Scorecard • Croutons • Salad Toppings

Kooshy
is on a
tear.

137% dollar growth. 126% unit growth. Mambo Italiano exploding.
One story to tell — here it is.
Brand #3 in category
TDP needs attention
Sprouts = 20% of nat'l biz
$263K
52-week revenue
+137%
vs. year ago
1
Key performance indicators
Toggle time period to see how momentum is trending
52 Weeks
24 Weeks
12 Weeks
4 Weeks
2
Sprouts vs. natural channel
Is Sprouts growing faster or slower than everywhere else?
3
Weekly dollar trend
52 weeks of momentum vs. a year ago
Dollars by week
Current year
Year ago
Weekly sales rising from $4K to $8.6K peak vs near-zero year ago.
Dollar growth by window
YoY % change — is momentum accelerating or softening?
52W +137%, 24W +110%, 12W +103%, 4W +77%.
Promo dollar growth
Promo spending is exploding — watch the dependency trend
52W +214%, 24W +174%, 12W +86%, 4W +29%.
4
SKU performance
52 weeks — item-level detail
5
Strengths, risks & opportunities
What the numbers are actually saying
Strength
🔥
Velocity is elite
At $5.6/store/week blended, Kooshy is outperforming most peers in the Salad Toppings set. Mambo Italiano alone posted +275% dollar growth — that's a consumer pull story, not a push story.
Strength
🏆
Sprouts is becoming Kooshy's home court
Kooshy grew +137% at Sprouts vs. +96% total Natural Channel. Sprouts now represents 20.3% of all natural channel dollars — up 3.5 pts year over year. This relationship is compounding.
Warning
⚠️
TDP is the hidden time bomb
Distribution down -23% (-58 TDP points) across every single time window without exception. Revenue growth is masking a structural distribution problem. If velocity softens even slightly, this unravels fast.
Warning
💸
40% on promo is a lot
Promo % sold jumped +10 pts to 40% over 52 weeks while promo dollars exploded +214%. This raises the question: how much of the velocity is truly organic vs. promotion-driven? Worth testing a pull-back.
Danger
💀
Poco Picante is a ghost SKU
$83 in 52-week revenue. 1 TDP. -98% distribution. This SKU is functionally delisted everywhere. It's dragging brand optics in the item matrix. Needs a formal discontinuation decision before the next category review.
Opportunity
🚀
Mambo Italiano is the growth engine
The only SKU actively gaining doors (TDP +32%) while posting +275% dollar growth. Currently ranked #5 in category. A coordinated distribution push + promotional feature could make this a top-3 item in the set.
Opportunity
📋
Brand rank dropped -5 — recoverable
Despite explosive growth, Kooshy slipped 5 brand rank positions. Competitors are winning on distribution, not velocity. Kooshy's velocity story is stronger — but that argument only lands with more doors behind it.
Opportunity
🎯
Almost Naked: the Sprouts trust-builder
$139K, 99 TDP, +58% growth, stable promo. This is the SKU that earns Sprouts buyer confidence. Use it as the anchor ask in any reset or feature conversation. It's already performing — just needs more doors.
Section 6 — Forward-looking model • Croutons only

Where is Kooshy
headed from here?

Based on trailing velocity ($5.60/store/week blended), current TDP (196), and the momentum pattern across 4W → 52W windows, three scenarios are modeled below. Reality will land somewhere in this range — use it to frame conversations with Sprouts.

Projections are estimates built from SPINS actuals. Not guarantees. Actual results depend on distribution, promotions, competitive resets, and Sprouts buyer decisions.
Time horizon
12 weeks
26 weeks
52 weeks
Scenario view
All 3
Conservative
Base case
Bullish
Projected weekly revenue — croutons
Projection chart with conservative, base, and bullish weekly revenue paths.
What the projections are telling you
📊
The base case is conservative by Kooshy standards
~100% YoY is actually the middle scenario — but it's also exactly where the 12-week trailing data is pointing. If distribution holds and Mambo keeps gaining doors, this is the floor, not the ceiling.
The TDP story changes everything
The difference between conservative and bullish is almost entirely about distribution recovery. At current velocity ($5.6/S/W), every 10 TDP points recovered = ~$56/week in permanent incremental revenue.
☀️
Summer is a natural tailwind
Salad season (May–September) historically lifts crouton velocity 10–15%. The models include a seasonal adjustment — peak weeks in June–July could hit $9K–$11K under the bullish scenario.
🧮
The 52-week upside case: $500K+ is real
Under bullish assumptions (TDP recovery + Mambo momentum), croutons alone could clear $500K in the next 52 weeks. That's nearly 2× current run-rate — and doesn't include the incoming Panko SKUs.
Model assumptions — how it's built
All three scenarios share the same baseline; growth drivers and TDP trajectory differ
Assumption Conservative Base case Bullish
YoY growth rate ~60% ~100% ~130%+
TDP trajectory Continues drifting down Stabilizes at ~196 Recovers toward 220+
Velocity ($/S/W) $5.00–5.40 avg $5.60–6.20 avg $6.20–7.50 avg
Mambo Italiano Growth slows, holds ~93 TDP Holds momentum, ~100 TDP Gains doors, reaches 120+ TDP
Promo support Maintained at ~40% Maintained at ~40% Feature + ad drive velocity lift
Seasonal adjustment Applied across all scenarios — summer lift (June–Sept +12%), mild winter dip (Nov–Jan −5%)
Baseline anchor 196 TDP × $5.60/store/week = $1,098/week unit; recent actual weekly avg ~$6,500
Panko Breadcrumbs launching June 2026
Plain & Italian varieties — these projections are croutons only. Panko adds on top.
New category expansion →